As I explain in today's treeware column, last week I got to musing on what would happen to the Canadian blogosphere in the event of a Conservative win, minority or majority. (I sprinkled in some bonus links.)
Four days after next Monday's federal election, Toronto's (mostly) conservative bloggers will be drinking it up at a downtown pub. Judging from the polls, it will be a celebration of victory, one in which they had no small role.
For the past few years, they've been bashing the Liberals, for everything from not saluting U.S. President George W. Bush to the income trust scandal.
Oh sure, every once in a while they would take aim at columnists and pundits whom they perceived to be liberal/Liberal, but most of their fire was aimed at the government.
So what if the Conservatives win? Will mainstream media (MSM) journos who perform their watchdog role be lined up against the virtual wall?
It's a theme that was picked up by others, notably Warren Kinsella, as I noted yesterday.
Last Friday, I posed the question both on this blog and also emailed bloggers across the political spectrum and the country.
Some, such as Jay Currie and Robert McClelland, opted to post their thoughts as comments here and/or here.
Here's part of Jay's reply, and there's more where this came from:
What is not paid much attention to in the MSM is that the CPC is at best a rickety coalition of currently silent socons, free market business and policy wonks, a smattering of confused "red tories", some serious decentralists and a garnish of libertarians. Or, more accurately, cats in a burlap sack.
If Harper wins - minority or majority - the real fight gets started. And the weapons in that fight are going to be blogs and websites.
The media will take some well ( and not so well) deserved shots; but the main bout will be the scrap over the soul of the CPC.
I can hardly wait.
And here's one of McClelland's retorts:
As for who they'd attack, I agree on the media, Antonia. Any journalist who dared to criticize a Harper government would be given the swiftboat treatment. And any journalist who was critical of a Harper government would need to beware getting caught in a Rovian Dan Rather trap. Because the conservative elite would be looking to set them all up for a fall like the Rethugs did to Dan.
But this wouldn't be the sole target of the rightwing bloggers if Harper is elected. I'd look for a renewed and more vicious assault on the Supreme Court of Canada since it would be safety check against their crazies. The socons wouldn't be able to repeal the same sex marriage legislation for instance, as long as the SCC isn't stacked with rightwing ideologues.
Beyond that and their usual targets of hatred, they'd spend a great deal of their time defending every fart that escaped Harper's body. Harper will be able to do no wrong in their eyes and they'll be feverishly working to deflect or obfuscate criticism directed against his policies.
In short, if Harper is elected the Canadian rightwing bloggers are going to act exactly like their American counterparts. So you'd best get used to being called a traitor, Antonia, if Harper wins a week from Monday.
Others emailed me back, although I did not get as high a response as I had expected. Maybe they can't handle the truth?
Anyway, one of the constraints of writing for old media is time and space. For broadcast media, the problem is the former. For print media, it's the latter. Which is why I was unable to quote ithe complete replies of those bloggers who were gracious enough to respond in time for my column deadline. (I made a few teeny edits, marked in fuschia.)
So here are their complete answers, in the order they replied:
Political Staples:
Thanks for the email.
I have not decided what I will do on my blog if the Conservatives win. In a perfect world I would hold them to the same level as I do the Liberals but I am honest enough to say my bias will leak in - especially since I agree with most of the platform. At a minimum I will be playing close attention to how well they live up to their promise of clean and accountable government. If they stick to their key 5 and curb the growth of the federal government they can keep me happy.
I do wonder if my blog will be as interesting if I am defending a government rather than going after it. It will be a work in progress I guess.
But it is much (better) than the alternative, eh?
Greg Staples
Let It Bleed:
Happy New Year! I hope your holidays were enjoyable.
Smart-ass answer: The final goal of the VRWC (Cdn Chapter) having been
accomplished, our funding will dry up and the conservative Canadian
blogosphere will wither up and blow away. Until the time comes to inva...
er, liberate Iran.
Real answer: I think Jay Currie is partly correct, but it's a little more
complex than he lets on. Assuming the CPC wins (still a big "if", at this
point) the first few months will see something akin to drunken euphoria
amongst conservatives. What happens after that will be a function of two
things: whether it's a majority or minority government and how badly the
Liberals do (in terms of seat count). If it's a majority and the Liberals
are trounced, then the "coalition" that comprises the CPC will splinter, and
online pundits will start sniping at the party and each other, feeling
liberated to do so because there is little danger of the Liberals staging an
immediate comeback. If it's a majority and the Liberals still place
strongly, the coalition will likely still splinter, but not as quickly and
not as deeply. In a minority situation, I think the dynamic will remain the
same as prior to and during the election: guns trained on the media and the
Liberals (the NDP, being seen as a bulwark against the Liberals owning the
entire centrist/left field, will continue to get mostly a pass).
Both real name and blog name are fine.
Best regards,
Bob
Canadian Cynic
i'm not sure i'll be answering your question exactly, but it would be interesting to see how the wankersphere would be promoting the idea of harper (and canada) getting far more friendly with the bush administration.
would they be pushing the idea of the missile defense program again? would they be all for backing off protecting canada's sovereignty in the far north? would they encourage the idea of starting to sell canada's water to the U.S.? would they think the idea of canada starting to accommodate the U.S. no-fly list was just a peachy idea? would they be forgiving about trying to get back that $5 billion in softwood duties? would they be getting all excited about sending canadian troops to iraq?
i mean, it's clear that the canadian wingnuts really don't care for anything remotely resembling anti-americanism.
so one can only imagine that they're going to be all gung-ho about integrating canada even more tightly into the U.S.
i'll have to think on this some more.
CC
Calgary Grit, in two separate emails
The more moderate Tory bloggers like Bound by Gravity will stay fairly
balanced and supportive of Harper I think. But I really believe that the
fanatical blogging Tories will turn en mass against Harper. Harper is going
to govern like Mulroney and we all remember that the Reform Party was a
protest movement against Mulroney. Ergo, the old Reformers are going to
feel that Harper has "sold out" to Ontario and Quebec, abandoning his reform
roots.
If Harper has a minority, then his excuse will be that he needs to
compromise to maintain power and their criticism will be muted. But if he
wins a majority, it won't take long before the complaints begin.
Bart Ramson
(and)
It'll be interesting to see (how) they react without the Liberals to kick around. I know I've taken a few shots at PMPM myself so I'm kind of looking forward to being able to go after Harper a bit more once he governs and starts messing up.
Meantime, Phantom Observer Victor Wong whose comment I picked up from my blog and quoted in the column, today writes:
From Zerb’s selections, you might be tempted to think that political bloggers are punch-drunk pundit brawlers spoiling for a good political fight. I for one believe we’re a lot more sophisticated than that.
For example, Bob the Blogger seems to think that conservative bloggers are going to try to complete the revolution by targeting the five provincial non-conservative governments for replacement. I seriously doubt that the Blogging Tories are that single-minded of purpose.
And Bob the Bleeder believes there’ll be sniping and snarling within the blogging ranks depending on how strong the Conservative win (and corresponding Liberal loss) actually is. Certain some behaviour like that will happen, but then it always happens. There will always be people who are critical of government no matter who’s in power, and there will always be true believers unwilling to compromise in a goal to put policy in place. It’s the normal give-and-take of politics.
I still think the media will take the brunt of the attacks, and we'll see something happen here akin to what has transpired in the U.S. where the blogosphere has had a chilling effect on many mainstream types.
Being a watchdog is one thing. Being an attack dog is another.
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