America's incredible shrinking economic rivals...
...include Japan, Germany, Russia, South Korea and Taiwan. Conspicuously absent from the list of affluent nations with projected declines in population: the U.S. and Canada. Also the emerging superpowers China and India, the only real threats to continued U.S. hegemony.
But China historically is not an imperial power - it's not in the genes. Ditto India. And both nations are hobbled by smothering bureaucractic strictures and ethnic nationalist tensions.
Elsewhere on the "shrinking" list is just about every country in Eastern Europe.
Meanwhile, Canada's population is projected by Statscan to jump 39% between now and 2036, rising from today's 34.2 million to 47.7 million.
And a 2008 Pew Research survey, typical of its kind, shows U.S. population growing 41% between now and 2050, from today's 310 million to 438 million.
Why? Anticipated robust immigration growth and above-average fertility rates among Latin and African Americans, who together account for one-quarter of the U.S. population. The U.S. will retain its current ranking as the world's third most-populous nation long into the future.
I've said it before: Never bet against the U.S.