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« We've come this far in 15 years. | Main | Ain't misbehavin'. »

09/28/2010

Smoke, mirrors and graphs.

GOP Central has fun distorting numbers in its platform for the midterms. For instance, here's its graphic depiction of "soaring" U.S. government expenditure as a percentage of the economy:

GOP graph 
New Republic's Alexander Hart was initially shocked, too.

At first, I looked at that graph and thought "Holy cow--President Obama is proposing to double the size of government!" But then I saw the numbers at the top and bottom of the graph. The increase in government as a share of GDP looks so large only due to the fact that the box only ranges from 17 to 24. With that scale, even a small increase looks huge. Here's what a more honest graph of the same data looks like:

GOP graph 2 

That modest increase in government's role in the economy explains most of what you need to know about the despond Obama and the Dems find themselves in. It's not nearly big enough an increase to satisfy progressives, sufficiently disillusioned to stay home rather than vote, and sufficiently big (any increase would be sufficiently big) to motivate reactionaries to "kick the bums out" - the ones who staved off a second Great Depression, and brought about the biggest improvement in American way of life (aka Obamacare) since Medicare was introduced 45 years ago.

 

 

 

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The second graph is equally dishonest in the other direction. (Unless you're also including data from North Korea...)

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David Olive's
Everybody's Business

  • Commentary on business, politics and culture

    David Olive is a business and current affairs columnist at the Star, which he joined in 2001 after stints at the Globe and Mail, National Post and Financial Post.

    "If all economists were laid end to end, they would not reach a conclusion."
    - George Bernard Shaw

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