Map of the Week: Breaking and entering
This week, we begin an occasional series on crime, using neighbourhood-based crime statistics produced by the Toronto police. These use the City of Toronto neighbourhood boundaries, not the set produced by our neighbourhood project earlier in the year.
Before I saw the map, I expected more burglary in high-income neighbourhoods, based on the idea that wealthy people would be more likely to have things worth stealing. That turns out not to be consistently true, though the Bridle Path and Casa Loma do have high rates. The stronger relationship seems to be with areas around universities, with U of T, York and (almost) Ryerson in areas with very high burglary rates.
Here are the top 20:
2 Bay Street Corridor
4 Moss Park
5 Bridle Path-Sunnybrook-York Mills
6 East End-Danforth
7 Casa Loma
8 York University Heights
10 Church-Yonge Corridor
11 Waterfront Communities-The Island
12 Rosedale-Moore Park
13 Woodbine Corridor
15 West Humber-Clairville
16 South Riverdale
17 Little Portugal
19 The Beaches
20 Forest Hill South
It’s an odd mixture of areas, and I’d be curious to know what readers make of it.
One striking pattern is the fall in breaking and entering between 2004 and 2008 in most areas.
Two business/economics blogs (link, link) have floated the idea that the decline in burglaries is linked to falling prices of manufactured goods – in other words, that burglars are a casualty of free trade.
The maps show five years of burglary data for all 140 neighbourhoods, as seen below: