Sasha Stone, the high priestess of the must-read blog OscarWatch.com, gives Oscarology a nice shout-out today.
She posted an item about my Number Crunching post of two days ago, in which I mentioned how there hasn't been a Best Picture winner without an accompanying nomination for editing since Robert Redford's Ordinary People in 1980.
The factoid may seem trivial or geekish, but front-runner Brokeback Mountain didn' t have an editing nom last year, and the eventual winner Crash did.
|Babel, nominated for Best Picture, also received a nomination for editing, which bodes well for its chances on taking home the top prize.|
This year, only two of the Best Pictures nominees also have bids for editing: Babel and The Departed. If you believe in omens, this could spell trouble for Letters From Iwo Jima, Little Miss Sunshine and The Queen.
Two OscarWatch commenters added additional insights.
"Has any film ever won Best Picture without being nominated for editing or director?" wrote Michael Cusumano. "Unless I'm mistaken, Little Miss Sunshine would be the first. Also, you'd have to go back quite far to find a time when picture and director didn't line up two years in a row, 1948-49, I think. So if Scorsese wins, the odds favour The Departed. And since we're talking about stats, I haven't heard anyone mention that if Streep loses as predicted it will be her tenth (!) loss in a row."
Another OscarWatch poster, identified only as Nigel, isn't buying the "no editing, no win" voodoo.
|Speculation is Little Miss Sunshine is longshot for Best Picture because it did not receive an editing nomination..|
"I put it down to pure coincidence," he wrote. " I highly doubt Academy members (or their assistants) sit there filling out the ballot and think, 'Well, hang on a second there, Skip, Brokeback Mountain doesn't have an editing nomination! I can't vote for that!' Then again, this is the same group that gave Kim Basinger an award for acting, so who knows how they think?"
Excellent points all, and just another indication of why this is one of the most interesting Oscars in recent memory.