Just when you think you're starting to get things sorted out, with the latest batch of awards indicating a Best Picture showdown between Babel and The Departed, along comes further evidence of a possible win by Little Miss Sunshine. The IMDB posed the $64,000 question in its daily poll as to which dark horse Oscar candidates people are rooting for.
The poll had nearly 25,000 respondents.
The winner by nearly 24% was Little Miss Sunshine for Best Picture.
That was followed by (I'm rounding off percentages):
- Ryan Gosling for Best Actor (13%);
- Abigail Breslin for Best Supporting Actress (11%);
- Djimon Hounsou for Best Supporting Actor (10%);
- Other (8%);
- Meryl Streep for Best Actress (5%);
- Penelope Cruz for Best Actress (5%);
- Paul Greengrass for Best Director (4%);
- Jackie Earle Haley for Best Supporting Actor (4%):
- Babel for Best Picture (4%);
- The Queen for Best Picture (4%);
- Rinko Kikuchi for Best Supporting Actress (4%);
- Alejandro González Iñárritu for Best Director (2%);
- Adriana Barraza for Best Supporting Actress (2%);
- Stephen Frears for Best Director (1%).
The nearly one in four vote for Little Miss Sunshine, followed by strong support for Abigail Breslin to take an upset win for Best Supporting Actress over front-runner Jennifer Hudson, indicates there's still gas in the tank of Little Miss Sunshine's VW bus. It's important to remember that IMDB users are not the same as Academy voters. I would wager there there's very little in common between the two groups, apart from a love of movies.
And what is to be made of the idea that Little Miss Sunshine is viewed by so many people as a dark horse for Best Picture? Does that mean they don't think it has a serious chance of winning, but wish it did?
It's curious that Babel and The Queen are considered dark horses by a much smaller percentage of those polled, and neither The Departed nor Letters From Iwo Jima are on the dark horse list.