Women and Politics: The Numbers
Now this is impressive. The dazzling numerical mind behind The Pundits' Guide website has turned its attention to the urban-rural divide re: women candidates, and has offered us a statistical analysis based on the last five federal elections. This is, in my opinion, must-read data for any political party that declares itself to be serious about getting more women into Parliament. (Actually, the Pundits' Guide overall is an invaluable resource. Just have a look at the "list of lists" -- a goldmine of data.)
Among the conclusions of this analysis:
Obviously, if parties are going to meet their commitments to increase the number of women candidates they run, it will be by definition in non-incumbent ridings that will therefore be harder to win. If more women are to be elected in rural ridings, it will either be because retiring Conservative incumbents are replaced by women candidates (as happened for example when Candice Hoeppner replaced Brian Pallister in Portage – Lisgar, MB), or because women candidates from the other parties can win over those seats (although the Conservatives only lost 6 seats overall last time, 2 to women, both urban).